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85th Academy Awards: Expectations and Hopes for the 2013 Oscars

85th Academy Awards: Expectations and Hopes for the 2013 Oscars

Articles - Acting

My mom texted me this morning and said: “Amour Oscar nominated this am as one of the 9 best pix for 2012. The 85 yr old female lead nominated for best actor. Good call, K! Ahead of the curve!” Thanks, Mom!

Seriously, though, in complete abandonment of form, the Academy bestowed five nominations on Michael Haneke’s Amour. It’s incredibly rare to see a foreign language film nominated outside of the Best Foreign category (Life is Beautiful is the only one I can think of off the top of my head), and Amour picked up nods for Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actress, and Best Original Screenplay. This is a coup for small, complex, character-driven narrative films, especially when you consider the man who realized the picture is the miserablist behind both renditions of Funny Games, who recently “Top 10 Films of 2012” list. But there’s still plenty of controversy in the 85th Academy Awards nomination slate. Check out the full list below, along with MovieMaker‘s expectations, hopes, and runner-up hopes. War!

Best Picture

Beasts of the Southern Wild
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty
Lincoln
Les Misérables
Life of Pi
Amour
Django Unchained
Argo

MM’s Expectation: Zero Dark Thirty
MM’s Hope: Amour
MM’s Runner-up Hope: Beasts of the Southern Wild

There’s no shame in ZDT winning Best Picture. It’s an incredibly solid film. But Amour is both the toughest to watch, and the most rewarding, film of the year by one of (if not the) world’s most sure-footed director, Michael Haneke.

Actor

Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
Denzel Washington, Flight
Hugh Jackman, Les Misérables
Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master

Expectation: Daniel Day-Lewis
Hope: Joaquin Phoenix
Runner-up Hope: Daniel Day-Lewis

Everyone knows that DDL is the best actor extant, but Joaquin gets overlooked too often because he’s crazy. That’s why he gets our nod.

Actress

Naomi Watts, The Impossible
Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
Quvenzhané Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild

Expectation: Jessica Chastain
Hope: Emmanuelle Riva
Runner-up Hope: Quvenzhané Wallis

Chastain has spent three years proving that she can pick good roles, and then act very well in them. That said, I was afraid that Emmanuelle Riva actually came down with Alzheimer’s during Amour. Quvenzhané Wallis, suffice it to say, is also a literal force of nature in Beasts, but she’ll have many more opportunities to win awards. Ms. Riva might not.

Supporting Actor

Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
Alan Arkin, Argo
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln

Expectation: Tommy Lee Jones
Hope: Tommy Lee Jones
Runner-up Hope: Philip Seymour Hoffman

TLJ hasn’t won since The Fugitive, and he deserved wins for No Country For Old Men and (for which he wasn’t nominated), so he’s more or less due. PSH always brings it, too, but his Lancaster Dodd ran out of character arc, if you ask me.

Supporting Actress

Sally Field, Lincoln
Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables
Jacki Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Amy Adams, The Master

Expectation: Anne Hathaway
Hope: Amy Adams
Runner-up Hope: Sally Field

In no fewer than four grocery checkout lines I’ve heard someone say, Anne Hathaway is only in Les Mis for 15 minutes, but she’s incredible!” I guess that means she’s going to win an Oscar. Amy Adams played a pretty ballsy Peggy Dodd, though, and even appeared naked and pregnant. To the brave the glory. It’s also nice to see Sally Field being relevant again.

Director

David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
Ang Lee, Life of Pi
Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
Michael Haneke, Amour
Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild

Expectation: Steven Spielberg
Hope: Michael Haneke
Runner-up Hope: Benh Zeitlin

Spielberg still does big and important better than anyone, but Haneke does small (and tragic) and important better than anyone. Benh Zeitlin, I suppose, did a small version of big better than anyone else in 2012. If there were an award for getting the most from your budget, Zeitlin would win hands down.

Foreign Language Film

Amour, Austria
No, Chile
War Witch, Canada
A Royal Affair, Denmark
Kon-Tiki, Norway

Expectation: Amour
Hope: Amour
Runner-up Hope: War Witch

It should go without saying that if I think Amour is the best film of the year, that also makes it the best foreign language film. But I’m thrilled to see War Witch, a Canadian film, shot by a guy named Kim Nguyen (who looks like a handsome Israeli), in and around Kinshasa—one of the most dangerous cities in the world. War Witch is sort of the Beasts of the Southern Wild for child soldiers, with a lot of terrifying violence and a white rooster.

Adapted Screenplay

Beasts of the Southern Wild, Lucy Alibar and Benh Zeitlin
Argo, Chris Terrio
Lincoln, Tony Kushner
Silver Linings Playbook, David O. Russell
Life of Pi, David Magee

Expectation: Lincoln, Tony Kushner
Hope: Lincoln, Tony Kushner
Runner-up Hope: Beasts of the Southern Wild, Lucy Alibar and Benh Zeitlin

It’s rare to see the sort of high diction that Kushner employs in big Hollywood movie (or a small independent one, for that matter). For language alone, it’s Kushner all the way. But Zeitlin and Alibar did a great job converting a stage play to something so uniquely cinematic as Beasts.

Original Screenplay

Flight, John Gatins
Zero Dark Thirty, Mark Boal
Django Unchained, Quentin Tarantino
Amour, Michael Haneke
Moonrise Kingdom, Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola

Expectation: Zero Dark Thirty, Mark Boal
Hope: Amour, Michael Haneke
Runner-up Hope: Zero Dark Thirty, Mark Boal
I’ve already said enough about Amour, so instead I’ll say that I was impressed as hell by how Mark Boal tackled the scope of the narrative in ZDT. The film covers the better part of a decade, and never once devolves into a music montage to indicate time passage. Well done, Boal.

Cinematography

Seamus McGarvey, Anna Karenina
Robert Richardson, Django Unchained
Claudio Miranda, Life of Pi
Janusz Kaminski, Lincoln
Roger Deakins, Skyfall

Expectation: Seamus McGarvey, Anna Karenina
Hope: Robert Richardson, Django Unchained
Runner-up Hope: Roger Deakins, Skyfall

If you haven’t watched “The West Wing” recently (it’s streaming on Netflix right now, FYI), you might be impressed by McGarvey’s tracking shots, and Joe Wright’s misc-en-scene in Anna Karenina. But don’t be fooled. We never see shots wide enough or long enough to get a sense of space or movement. I’m picking Django Unchained, though, very sullenly. It’s arguably Tarantino’s worst film. But, as always, it looks stylish—without being overly stylized. Yay?

Documentary

5 Broken Cameras
The Gatekeepers
How to Survive a Plague
The Invisible War
Searching for Sugar Man

Expectation: Searching for Sugar Man
Hope: How to Survive a Plague
Runner-up Hope: Searching for Sugar Man

I’ve done an awful job watching documentaries this year, so I probably shouldn’t be weighing in on this category. Oops.

Film Editing

William Goldenberg, Argo
Tim Squyres, Life of Pi
Michael Kahn, Lincoln
Jay Cassidy and Crispin Struthers, Silver Linings Playbook
Dylan Tichenor and William Goldenberg, Zero Dark Thirty

Expectation: William Goldenberg, Argo
Hope: Dylan Tichenor and William Goldenberg, Zero Dark Thirty
Runner-up Hope: Michael Kahn, Lincoln

I happen to be a fan of patient editing, where cutting is minimized. The Academy tends to reward the films, though, with the most editing (which is why Danny Boyle’s films always get nominated). I don’t love the editing in any of the nominated pictures, but I promise you that I like Argo‘s the least—which is why it’s going to win.

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    Carlos

    February 28, 2013 at 10:38 pm

    Here’s what I don’t get, you’re all saying Lincoln suhdlon’t be considered the favorite anymore because it hasn’t won anything yet. And so you’re replacing it with Silver Linings Playbook, which has won what exactly? Oh that’s right, NOTHING.Silver Linings Playbook was cliche9-ridden garbage. It’s basically a romantic comedy. It’s a goddamn chick flick masquerading as an important movie because it’s got a mental health aspect to it. The performances are highly overrated (Jennifer Lawrence gets worse and worse with each role she plays; Bradley Cooper’s performance was all over the place; and De Niro was hamming it up for the most part), the writing is crap because it’s overwritten in that every single character constantly tells you exactly what they are thinking, and the direction is flat-out ordinary.Lincoln will win because it is the kind of movie the Academy eats up. This is not a Shakespeare in Love vs. Saving Private Ryan kind of year wherein the lighter fare beats a serious epic-type film. First, Shakespeare, while also a romantic comedy, had the Elizabethan costume drama look and feel and the Shakespearean angle, which is also the kind of shit the Academy loves while only 3 war movies have ever won Best Picture (All Quiet on the Western Front, The Bridge on the River Kwai, and Patton). Saving Private Ryan probably lost a lot of votes from people who wanted to make it a 4th too because Malick’s The Thin Red Line and the Holocaust dramedy La Vita E Bella were also nominated in 1998 and they undoubtedly stole more votes from Private Ryan than Elizabeth did from Shakespeare.If Silver Linings Playbook had been crushing everything in terms of awards to this point I would concede that it is probably the favorite, but it has won bupkis. If anything, Argo and Zero Dark Thirty would be considered front-runners but they didn’t get Best Director nominations so clearly the Academy wasn’t as thrilled with them as the critics were.Hey, but then again, the Academy gets it wrong so often that it probably will give the Best Picture Oscar to Silver Linings Playbook because it seems that more often that not they reward the worst of the nominees!

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